Showing posts with label odds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label odds. Show all posts

Thursday, March 12, 2009

People are stupid



a) The people way back in Tiger's rear view mirror are (2) Sergio Garcia, (3) Phil Mickelson and (4) Padraig Harringon. As for the first two, give me a break. And I don't think Paddy could overtake Tiger if he won another two majors this year. This should be no higher than 5%.

b) This is the only really viable option. Yes, Gino has the UConn women rocking and rolling as usual. Or more than usual. But still, once tourney time rolls around, anything can happen.

c) Are you shitting me? The fucking Bills, in the playoffs? Because TO is a positive? Hey, remind me, how did the Cowboys do these last 3 years? Yeah, that's right, two one-and-dones and a whiff – and they supposedly have talent! I'll give this 10%.

Maybe it seems crazy to give 85% odds to the Husky women losing, when I would actually bet them to win the whole thing. But in the context of this poll of three unlikely things, them losing is by far the most likely of those things.

Looking at it the other way, what would have to happen for each of these to come true?

a) One of those three guys would have to win 2 or 3 majors, and Tiger would have to absolutely suck. Hah! Maybe 5% was too high.

b) During any one of six games, UConn has to be slightly off, and a frisky underdog needs to play a hell of a game and pull the upset. THIS HAPPENS EVERY FUCKING YEAR!

c) The Bill need a QB, an O-line, a D, a head coach with a clue......... yeah, call me.